Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 15:00 •
Municipal Stadium Alpendorada
Expected Goals
2.85 (league 1.23)
0.36 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 80.9% | 9.4% | 2.7% |
best score tips
2 - 0
16.4%
3 - 0
15.6%
1 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Gouveia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Alpendorada | 0 | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.5% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.4% | 5.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 15.6% | 5.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.1% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Alpendorada | Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 7% |
| Attack | 60% | 30% |
| Defense | 40% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Alpendorada | Gouveia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| Wins | 50% | 9% | 29% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 40% | 64% | 52% | 30% | 9% | 19% |
| Loses | 10% | 27% | 19% | 70% | 91% | 81% |
Form: Alpendorada: WLDDWDDWWWDLDLDDDDDWL • Gouveia: DLLLLLLLLLLLDLDLDLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Alpendorada | Gouveia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 7 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| GA total | 9 | 8 | 17 | 21 | 27 | 48 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Alpendorada | Gouveia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 62% | 33% | 95% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 19% | 10% | 81% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 38% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Alpendorada | Gouveia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
Penalties
| Metric | Alpendorada | Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Alpendorada | Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 0 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 11 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-3 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-0 | 0-5 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Alpendorada | Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 86% | 14% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 65% | 35% |
| Poisson Distribution | 89% | 11% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 76.8% | 23.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Alpendorada or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Alpendorada = 2.85 (league 1.23), Gouveia = 0.36 (league 1.00)
| Gouveia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Alpendorada | 0 | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.5% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.4% | 5.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 15.6% | 5.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.1% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 80.9% · Draw 9.4% · Away win 2.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1