Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 15:00 • Estádio Vila Mítica
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 1.24) 1.67 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.3% 24.3% 54.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.7%
1 - 1
11.5%
0 - 2
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Vila Real
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aparecida 0 7.6% 12.7% 10.6% 5.9% 2.5% 0.8%
1 6.9% 11.5% 9.6% 5.4% 2.2% 0.7%
2 3.1% 5.2% 4.3% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
3 0.9% 1.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAparecidaVila Real
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack54%38%
Defense15%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aparecida Vila Real
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins55%9%32%27%18%23%
Draws0%36%18%45%45%45%
Loses45%55%50%27%36%32%

Form: Aparecida: LWWWLLDWLLLLLWDWLLDWDL • Vila Real: WDDLWDLLDDWLDLDDLWDWDL

League goals

Metric Aparecida Vila Real
HATHAT
GF total1882610919
GF avg1.60.71.20.90.80.9
GA total23163913821
GA avg2.11.51.81.20.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAparecidaVila Real
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%77%55%68%
1.527%45%18%18%
2.518%32%5%9%
3.50%18%5%0%
4.50%5%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAparecidaVila Real
HATHAT
Clean sheets325257
Failed to score2464610

Penalties

MetricAparecidaVila Real
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAparecidaVila Real
Wins31
Draws12
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-22-10-5
Biggest losses1-53-10-32-0
Goals For3225
Goals Against5332

Model comparison

MetricAparecidaVila Real
Form38%62%
Att58%42%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total39.8%60.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Vila Real

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.14 @ Unibet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away3.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No2.05 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.80 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aparecida = 0.90 (league 1.24), Vila Real = 1.67 (league 1.01)

Vila Real
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aparecida 0 7.6% 12.7% 10.6% 5.9% 2.5% 0.8%
1 6.9% 11.5% 9.6% 5.4% 2.2% 0.7%
2 3.1% 5.2% 4.3% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
3 0.9% 1.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.3% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 54.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1