Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 15:00 •
Estadio do Leca Futebol Clube
Expected Goals
2.67 (league 1.24)
0.49 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 78.0% | 11.9% | 4.7% |
best score tips
2 - 0
15.2%
3 - 0
13.5%
1 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Aparecida | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leça | 0 | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.4% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.2% | 7.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.5% | 6.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.0% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Leça | Aparecida |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 53% |
| Attack | 82% | 82% |
| Defense | 64% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Leça | Aparecida | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 73% | 33% | 52% | 58% | 9% | 35% |
| Draws | 27% | 50% | 39% | 0% | 36% | 17% |
| Loses | 0% | 17% | 9% | 42% | 55% | 48% |
Form: Leça: LWDDLWWWWDWWDWDWDWWDDWD • Aparecida: LWWWLLDWLLLLLWDWLLDWDLW
League goals
| Metric | Leça | Aparecida | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 18 | 42 | 21 | 8 | 29 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 8 | 13 | 21 | 24 | 16 | 40 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Leça | Aparecida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 65% | 74% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 17% | 30% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 35% | 9% | 22% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Leça | Aparecida | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Leça | Aparecida |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Leça | Aparecida |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 1-5 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Leça | Aparecida |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 82% | 18% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 61.2% | 38.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Leça or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Leça = 2.67 (league 1.24), Aparecida = 0.49 (league 1.01)
| Aparecida | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leça | 0 | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.4% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.2% | 7.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.5% | 6.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.0% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.0% · Draw 11.9% · Away win 4.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1