Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 15:00 •
Estádio Municipal de Fornelos
Expected Goals
0.50 (league 1.20)
0.32 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.7% | 51.3% | 18.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
43.9%
1 - 0
22.0%
0 - 1
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Florgrade | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Resende | 0 | 43.9% | 14.1% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.0% | 7.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Resende | Florgrade |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 67% |
| Attack | 13% | 40% |
| Defense | 60% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
47%
FT probability
2.5+
33%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
50%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Resende | Florgrade | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 20% | 20% | 20% | 60% | 20% | 40% |
| Draws | 40% | 40% | 40% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Loses | 40% | 40% | 40% | 20% | 60% | 40% |
Form: Resende: DWWLDLDLDL • Florgrade: LLDWLWWWLD
League goals
| Metric | Resende | Florgrade | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 4 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Resende | Florgrade | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 40% | 60% | 60% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 30% | 20% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 10% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Resende | Florgrade | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Resende | Florgrade |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Resende | Florgrade |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 4-5 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Resende | Florgrade |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 17% | 83% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 35.8% | 64.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Florgrade and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Resende = 0.50 (league 1.20), Florgrade = 0.32 (league 0.99)
| Florgrade | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Resende | 0 | 43.9% | 14.1% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.0% | 7.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.7% · Draw 51.3% · Away win 18.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1