Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 15:00 • Estádio Vila Mítica
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.69 (league 1.24) 1.99 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.4% 21.4% 43.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.5%
1 - 2
8.4%
2 - 1
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Resende
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aparecida 0 2.5% 5.0% 5.0% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7%
1 4.3% 8.5% 8.4% 5.6% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.6% 7.2% 7.1% 4.7% 2.4% 0.9%
3 2.0% 4.0% 4.0% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%
4 0.9% 1.7% 1.7% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAparecidaResende
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack60%40%
Defense20%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aparecida Resende
HATHAT
Played1091910919
Wins50%11%32%30%11%21%
Draws0%33%16%40%44%42%
Loses50%56%53%30%44%37%

Form: Aparecida: LWWWLLDWLLLLLWDWLLD • Resende: DWWLDLDLDLDLDWDLLWD

League goals

Metric Aparecida Resende
HATHAT
GF total156219817
GF avg1.50.71.10.90.90.9
GA total22123471320
GA avg2.21.31.80.71.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAparecidaResende
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%74%42%63%
1.526%47%26%26%
2.516%32%11%11%
3.50%21%5%5%
4.50%5%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAparecidaResende
HATHAT
Clean sheets325437
Failed to score2465611

Penalties

MetricAparecidaResende
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAparecidaResende
Wins32
Draws11
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-23-14-5
Biggest losses1-53-11-23-1
Goals For3235
Goals Against5324

Model comparison

MetricAparecidaResende
Form50%50%
Att60%40%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total47.8%52.2%

Advice: Double chance : Aparecida or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.71 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Unibet
Away2.75 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No1.91 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Betano
Under 2.51.70 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aparecida = 1.69 (league 1.24), Resende = 1.99 (league 0.99)

Resende
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aparecida 0 2.5% 5.0% 5.0% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7%
1 4.3% 8.5% 8.4% 5.6% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.6% 7.2% 7.1% 4.7% 2.4% 0.9%
3 2.0% 4.0% 4.0% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%
4 0.9% 1.7% 1.7% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.4% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 43.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1