Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 15:00 •
Complexo Desportivo Do Monte Forca
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.23)
0.90 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.7% | 28.3% | 25.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.4%
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Resende | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vila Real | 0 | 11.0% | 9.9% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.4% | 13.0% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.4% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vila Real | Resende |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 27% |
| Attack | 60% | 30% |
| Defense | 50% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vila Real | Resende | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 30% | 18% | 24% | 27% | 10% | 19% |
| Draws | 50% | 45% | 48% | 36% | 40% | 38% |
| Loses | 20% | 36% | 29% | 36% | 50% | 43% |
Form: Vila Real: WDDLWDLLDDWLDLDDLWDWD • Resende: DWWLDLDLDLDLDWDLLWDLL
League goals
| Metric | Vila Real | Resende | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 9 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 10 | 8 | 18 | 8 | 16 | 24 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vila Real | Resende | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 67% | 43% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 19% | 14% | 24% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 5% | 10% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 5% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vila Real | Resende | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vila Real | Resende |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vila Real | Resende |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-5 | 3-1 | 4-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vila Real | Resende |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 58.4% | 41.6% |
Advice: Double chance : Vila Real or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Vila Real = 1.30 (league 1.23), Resende = 0.90 (league 1.00)
| Resende | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vila Real | 0 | 11.0% | 9.9% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.4% | 13.0% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.4% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.7% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 25.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1