Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.10) 1.05 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.7% 28.8% 32.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.3%
1 - 0
12.7%
0 - 1
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Fátima
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lusitânia 0 10.8% 11.3% 5.9% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.7% 13.3% 7.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.5% 7.9% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.9% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLusitâniaFátima
Played55
Form20%60%
Attack36%43%
Defense21%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lusitânia Fátima
HATHAT
Played358448
Wins0%40%25%25%50%38%
Draws0%20%13%25%0%13%
Loses100%40%63%50%50%50%

Form: Lusitânia: WLDLWLLL • Fátima: LDLWWWLL

League goals

Metric Lusitânia Fátima
HATHAT
GF total369527
GF avg1.01.21.11.30.50.9
GA total76137512
GA avg2.31.21.61.81.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLusitâniaFátima
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%75%63%75%
1.538%50%13%50%
2.513%25%13%25%
3.50%13%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLusitâniaFátima
HATHAT
Clean sheets022022
Failed to score123123

Penalties

MetricLusitâniaFátima
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLusitâniaFátima
Wins13
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-33-10-1
Biggest losses2-43-01-33-0
Goals For2331
Goals Against4333

Model comparison

MetricLusitâniaFátima
Form25%75%
Att45%55%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total39.0%61.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Fátima

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.56 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.12 @ Marathonbet
Away2.67 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Marathonbet
No1.95 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lusitânia = 1.18 (league 1.10), Fátima = 1.05 (league 1.09)

Fátima
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lusitânia 0 10.8% 11.3% 5.9% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.7% 13.3% 7.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.5% 7.9% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.9% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.7% · Draw 28.8% · Away win 32.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1