Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 13:00 •
Estádio Municipal Nuno Álvares Pereira
Expected Goals
1.84 (league 1.09)
0.35 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 72.8% | 19.7% | 6.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
20.6%
2 - 0
18.9%
3 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Lajense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vitória de Sernache | 0 | 11.2% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.6% | 7.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.9% | 6.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.6% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | Lajense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 20% |
| Attack | 64% | 29% |
| Defense | 79% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | Lajense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Wins | 75% | 75% | 75% | 20% | 33% | 25% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 13% | 40% | 33% | 38% |
| Loses | 25% | 0% | 13% | 40% | 33% | 38% |
Form: Vitória de Sernache: WWWWWWDL • Lajense: LWWDDLLD
League goals
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | Lajense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 8 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vitória de Sernache | Lajense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 38% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 63% | 13% | 50% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 38% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | Lajense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | Lajense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | Lajense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 2-4 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | 2-3 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | Lajense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 77% | 23% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 83% | 17% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 74.0% | 26.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Vitória de Sernache or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Vitória de Sernache = 1.84 (league 1.09), Lajense = 0.35 (league 1.10)
| Lajense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vitória de Sernache | 0 | 11.2% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.6% | 7.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.9% | 6.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.6% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.8% · Draw 19.7% · Away win 6.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1