Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.09) 0.91 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.3% 35.1% 38.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.3%
0 - 1
18.4%
1 - 0
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
Lusitânia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mortágua 0 20.3% 18.4% 8.3% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
1 14.0% 12.7% 5.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.8% 4.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMortáguaLusitânia
Played54
Form53%33%
Attack36%55%
Defense55%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mortágua Lusitânia
HATHAT
Played235224
Wins50%33%40%0%50%25%
Draws50%33%40%0%50%25%
Loses0%33%20%100%0%50%

Form: Mortágua: DDWWL • Lusitânia: WLDL

League goals

Metric Mortágua Lusitânia
HATHAT
GF total314246
GF avg1.50.30.81.02.01.5
GA total145516
GA avg0.51.31.02.50.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMortáguaLusitânia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%40%75%75%
1.520%20%50%25%
2.50%20%25%25%
3.50%20%0%25%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMortáguaLusitânia
HATHAT
Clean sheets123011
Failed to score022101

Penalties

MetricMortáguaLusitânia
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMortáguaLusitânia
Wins21
Draws21
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-10-3
Biggest losses4-02-4
Goals For2123
Goals Against1441

Model comparison

MetricMortáguaLusitânia
Form67%33%
Att40%60%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total50.5%49.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lusitânia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.03 @ 1xBet
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.50 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ Marathonbet
No1.85 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mortágua = 0.69 (league 1.09), Lusitânia = 0.91 (league 1.10)

Lusitânia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mortágua 0 20.3% 18.4% 8.3% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
1 14.0% 12.7% 5.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.8% 4.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.3% · Draw 35.1% · Away win 38.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1