Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 14:00 •
Estádio Municipal Nuno Álvares Pereira
Expected Goals
4.41 (league 1.02)
0.88 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.6% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
best score tips
4 - 0
8.0%
3 - 0
7.2%
5 - 0
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
| UD da Serra | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vitória de Sernache | 0 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.2% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.0% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.0% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | UD da Serra |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 4 |
| Form | 100% | 83% |
| Attack | 88% | 100% |
| Defense | 88% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 2.3 | 11 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 4 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | UD da Serra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 50% | 100% | 75% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Vitória de Sernache: WWW • UD da Serra: WDWW
League goals
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | UD da Serra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 2.8 |
| GA total | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vitória de Sernache | UD da Serra | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 33% | 75% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 0% | 75% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | UD da Serra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | UD da Serra |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | UD da Serra |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 4-1 | 3-5 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | UD da Serra |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 39% | 61% |
| Def | 80% | 20% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 55.3% | 44.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Vitória de Sernache or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Vitória de Sernache = 4.41 (league 1.02), UD da Serra = 0.88 (league 1.20)
| UD da Serra | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vitória de Sernache | 0 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.2% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.0% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.0% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.6% · Draw 5.4% · Away win 2.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1