Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.02) 3.75 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.5% 7.2% 71.6%
best score tips
0 - 3
9.9%
0 - 4
9.3%
0 - 2
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Lusitânia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Os Marialvas 0 1.1% 4.2% 7.9% 9.9% 9.3% 7.0%
1 0.8% 3.1% 5.8% 7.3% 6.8% 5.1%
2 0.3% 1.1% 2.1% 2.7% 2.5% 1.9%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.5%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOs MarialvasLusitânia
Played42
Form50%50%
Attack82%27%
Defense27%91%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 2.33 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 21 | 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Os Marialvas Lusitânia
HATHAT
Played224112
Wins50%50%50%0%100%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses50%50%50%100%0%50%

Form: Os Marialvas: LWWL • Lusitânia: WL

League goals

Metric Os Marialvas Lusitânia
HATHAT
GF total369033
GF avg1.53.02.30.03.01.5
GA total358101
GA avg1.52.52.01.00.00.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOs MarialvasLusitânia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%50%50%
1.550%50%50%0%
2.525%25%50%0%
3.525%25%0%0%
4.525%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOs MarialvasLusitânia
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricOs MarialvasLusitânia
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricOs MarialvasLusitânia
Wins21
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-50-3
Biggest losses1-24-10-1
Goals For2503
Goals Against2410

Model comparison

MetricOs MarialvasLusitânia
Form67%33%
Att75%25%
Def11%89%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total51.0%49.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lusitânia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ 10Bet
Draw3.40 @ Marathonbet
Away4.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.73 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Marathonbet
No1.78 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Os Marialvas = 0.74 (league 1.02), Lusitânia = 3.75 (league 1.20)

Lusitânia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Os Marialvas 0 1.1% 4.2% 7.9% 9.9% 9.3% 7.0%
1 0.8% 3.1% 5.8% 7.3% 6.8% 5.1%
2 0.3% 1.1% 2.1% 2.7% 2.5% 1.9%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.5%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.5% · Draw 7.2% · Away win 71.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1