Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 11:00 •
Campo de Jogos de São Mateus da Calheta
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.02)
1.67 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 13.9% | 23.8% | 61.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
16.6%
0 - 2
13.9%
1 - 1
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Vitória de Sernache | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lusitânia | 0 | 10.0% | 16.6% | 13.9% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lusitânia | Vitória de Sernache |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 4 |
| Form | 44% | 100% |
| Attack | 24% | 47% |
| Defense | 88% | 94% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 8 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.7 | 1 | 0.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
39%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lusitânia | Vitória de Sernache | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 33% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 100% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Lusitânia: WLD • Vitória de Sernache: WWWW
League goals
| Metric | Lusitânia | Vitória de Sernache | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lusitânia | Vitória de Sernache | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 67% | 100% | 25% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 0% | 75% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lusitânia | Vitória de Sernache | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lusitânia | Vitória de Sernache |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lusitânia | Vitória de Sernache |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lusitânia | Vitória de Sernache |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 42.8% | 57.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Vitória de Sernache and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lusitânia = 0.64 (league 1.02), Vitória de Sernache = 1.67 (league 1.20)
| Vitória de Sernache | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lusitânia | 0 | 10.0% | 16.6% | 13.9% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.9% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 61.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1