Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.11) 0.59 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.8% 25.5% 14.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.3%
2 - 0
14.0%
0 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Fátima
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lajense 0 11.9% 7.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.3% 10.9% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.0% 8.3% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.2% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLajenseFátima
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack90%50%
Defense40%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lajense Fátima
HATHAT
Played325325
Wins33%50%40%33%50%40%
Draws33%50%40%33%0%20%
Loses33%0%20%33%50%40%

Form: Lajense: LWWDD • Fátima: LDLWW

League goals

Metric Lajense Fátima
HATHAT
GF total549415
GF avg1.72.01.81.30.51.0
GA total426426
GA avg1.31.01.21.31.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLajenseFátima
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%60%60%80%
1.580%40%20%40%
2.50%20%20%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLajenseFátima
HATHAT
Clean sheets112011
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricLajenseFátima
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricLajenseFátima
Wins20
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-10-1
Biggest losses2-30-22-0
Goals For2231
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricLajenseFátima
Form53%47%
Att64%36%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total59.5%40.5%

Advice: Double chance : Lajense or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ 1xBet
Away4.08 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ 1xBet
No1.80 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lajense = 1.53 (league 1.11), Fátima = 0.59 (league 1.09)

Fátima
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lajense 0 11.9% 7.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.3% 10.9% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.0% 8.3% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.2% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.8% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 14.2%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1