Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 15:00 •
Estádio Municipal Vale do Romeiro
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.09)
2.71 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 14.4% | 16.2% | 63.6% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.8%
1 - 3
8.0%
0 - 2
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
| UD da Serra | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Benfica Castelo Branco | 0 | 2.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| 1 | 2.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Benfica Castelo Branco | UD da Serra |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Attack | 78% | 100% |
| Defense | 22% | 22% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Benfica Castelo Branco | UD da Serra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 67% | 50% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 67% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 33% | 33% | 33% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
Form: Benfica Castelo Branco: DWLLWD • UD da Serra: WDWWLD
League goals
| Metric | Benfica Castelo Branco | UD da Serra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Benfica Castelo Branco | UD da Serra | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 83% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Benfica Castelo Branco | UD da Serra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Benfica Castelo Branco | UD da Serra |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Benfica Castelo Branco | UD da Serra |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 1-3 | 4-1 | 3-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-1 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Benfica Castelo Branco | UD da Serra |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 39% | 61% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 28% | 72% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 50.0% | 50.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or UD da Serra
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Benfica Castelo Branco = 1.19 (league 1.09), UD da Serra = 2.71 (league 1.10)
| UD da Serra | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Benfica Castelo Branco | 0 | 2.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| 1 | 2.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.4% · Draw 16.2% · Away win 63.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1