Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 15:00 •
Estádio Municipal Nuno Álvares Pereira
Expected Goals
2.39 (league 1.09)
0.54 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 75.0% | 14.8% | 6.6% |
best score tips
2 - 0
15.2%
1 - 0
12.7%
3 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Marinhense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vitória de Sernache | 0 | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.7% | 6.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.2% | 8.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.1% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | Marinhense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 33% |
| Attack | 100% | 44% |
| Defense | 67% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | Marinhense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Form: Vitória de Sernache: WWWWW • Marinhense: WDDLLW
League goals
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | Marinhense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 8 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vitória de Sernache | Marinhense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 40% | 83% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% | 0% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 40% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | Marinhense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | Marinhense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | Marinhense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 2-4 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | Marinhense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 57.2% | 42.8% |
Advice: Winner : Vitória de Sernache
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Vitória de Sernache = 2.39 (league 1.09), Marinhense = 0.54 (league 1.10)
| Marinhense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vitória de Sernache | 0 | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.7% | 6.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.2% | 8.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.1% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.0% · Draw 14.8% · Away win 6.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1