Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.10) 0.36 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.7% 24.6% 8.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.2%
2 - 0
17.8%
0 - 0
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
Mortágua
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fátima 0 15.1% 5.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.2% 8.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.8% 6.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.1% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFátimaMortágua
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack67%33%
Defense56%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fátima Mortágua
HATHAT
Played336437
Wins33%67%50%25%33%29%
Draws33%0%17%50%33%43%
Loses33%33%33%25%33%29%

Form: Fátima: LDLWWW • Mortágua: DDWWLLD

League goals

Metric Fátima Mortágua
HATHAT
GF total426314
GF avg1.30.71.00.80.30.6
GA total426347
GA avg1.30.71.00.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFátimaMortágua
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%43%43%
1.517%33%14%29%
2.517%0%0%14%
3.50%0%0%14%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFátimaMortágua
HATHAT
Clean sheets022224
Failed to score112224

Penalties

MetricFátimaMortágua
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFátimaMortágua
Wins02
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-12-00-1
Biggest losses0-22-00-24-0
Goals For3121
Goals Against2224

Model comparison

MetricFátimaMortágua
Form59%41%
Att67%33%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h20%80%
Goals0%100%
Total56.6%43.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Fátima or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.17 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.83 @ Marathonbet
Away3.60 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.42 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ Marathonbet
No1.61 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fátima = 1.53 (league 1.10), Mortágua = 0.36 (league 1.09)

Mortágua
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fátima 0 15.1% 5.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.2% 8.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.8% 6.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.1% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.7% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 8.3%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1