Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.16 (league 1.07) 0.54 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.5% 8.8% 3.5%
best score tips
3 - 0
13.0%
2 - 0
12.4%
4 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Os Marialvas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Peniche 0 2.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.8% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.4% 6.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.0% 7.0% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.3% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.5% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPenicheOs Marialvas
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack100%44%
Defense22%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Peniche Os Marialvas
HATHAT
Played336437
Wins67%33%50%25%33%29%
Draws0%0%0%25%0%14%
Loses33%67%50%50%67%57%

Form: Peniche: LWWLWL • Os Marialvas: LWWLDLL

League goals

Metric Peniche Os Marialvas
HATHAT
GF total5494610
GF avg1.71.31.51.02.01.4
GA total1785611
GA avg0.32.31.31.32.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePenicheOs Marialvas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%71%100%
1.533%50%29%29%
2.533%17%14%14%
3.517%0%14%14%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPenicheOs Marialvas
HATHAT
Clean sheets202000
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricPenicheOs Marialvas
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPenicheOs Marialvas
Wins22
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-32-11-5
Biggest losses0-13-11-24-1
Goals For4325
Goals Against1324

Model comparison

MetricPenicheOs Marialvas
Form69%31%
Att69%31%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h20%80%
Goals0%100%
Total58.2%41.8%

Advice: Winner : Peniche

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.89 @ 1xBet
Draw3.18 @ Marathonbet
Away3.90 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Marathonbet
No1.84 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Peniche = 3.16 (league 1.07), Os Marialvas = 0.54 (league 1.12)

Os Marialvas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Peniche 0 2.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.8% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.4% 6.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.0% 7.0% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.3% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.5% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.5% · Draw 8.8% · Away win 3.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1