Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 14:00 •
Campo da Portela
Expected Goals
1.84 (league 1.09)
1.81 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.5% | 21.8% | 37.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
8.7%
2 - 1
8.0%
1 - 2
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Lajense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD da Serra | 0 | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 4.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | UD da Serra | Lajense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Attack | 100% | 70% |
| Defense | 0% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | UD da Serra | Lajense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Wins | 33% | 50% | 43% | 25% | 50% | 33% |
| Draws | 67% | 0% | 29% | 25% | 50% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 29% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
Form: UD da Serra: WDWWLDL • Lajense: LWWDDL
League goals
| Metric | UD da Serra | Lajense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 7 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 3 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | UD da Serra | Lajense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 71% | 83% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 43% | 67% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 29% | 0% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 29% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | UD da Serra | Lajense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | UD da Serra | Lajense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | UD da Serra | Lajense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 3-5 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | 2-3 | — |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | UD da Serra | Lajense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 61% | 39% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 45.8% | 54.3% |
Advice: Double chance : UD da Serra or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): UD da Serra = 1.84 (league 1.09), Lajense = 1.81 (league 1.10)
| Lajense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD da Serra | 0 | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 4.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.5% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 37.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1