Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 12:00 •
Campo de Jogos de São Mateus da Calheta
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.10)
3.89 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.6% | 9.1% | 64.5% |
best score tips
1 - 3
7.3%
1 - 4
7.1%
0 - 3
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Benfica Castelo Branco | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lusitânia | 0 | 0.6% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% |
| 1 | 0.7% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lusitânia | Benfica Castelo Branco |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 47% |
| Attack | 50% | 90% |
| Defense | 10% | 30% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lusitânia | Benfica Castelo Branco | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 43% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 17% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Loses | 100% | 25% | 50% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
Form: Lusitânia: WLDLWL • Benfica Castelo Branco: DWLLWDW
League goals
| Metric | Lusitânia | Benfica Castelo Branco | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GA avg | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lusitânia | Benfica Castelo Branco | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 67% | 86% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 33% | 43% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 33% | 29% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lusitânia | Benfica Castelo Branco | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lusitânia | Benfica Castelo Branco |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lusitânia | Benfica Castelo Branco |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lusitânia | Benfica Castelo Branco |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 21% | 79% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 38.5% | 61.5% |
Advice: Winner : Benfica Castelo Branco
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lusitânia = 1.18 (league 1.10), Benfica Castelo Branco = 3.89 (league 1.09)
| Benfica Castelo Branco | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lusitânia | 0 | 0.6% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% |
| 1 | 0.7% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.6% · Draw 9.1% · Away win 64.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1