Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 15:00 •
Estádio Municipal Nuno Álvares Pereira
Expected Goals
5.70 (league 1.09)
0.47 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
best score tips
5 - 0
10.5%
4 - 0
9.2%
3 - 0
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Peniche | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vitória de Sernache | 0 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.2% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 10.5% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | Peniche |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 40% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 60% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | Peniche | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 100% | 75% | 86% | 50% | 33% | 43% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 67% | 57% |
Form: Vitória de Sernache: WWWWWWD • Peniche: LWWLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | Peniche | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 8 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GF avg | 2.7 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vitória de Sernache | Peniche | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 29% | 57% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 71% | 14% | 29% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 43% | 0% | 29% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 29% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | Peniche | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | Peniche |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | Peniche |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 2-4 | 4-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | Peniche |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 68% | 32% |
| Att | 65% | 35% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 51.4% | 48.6% |
Advice: Winner : Vitória de Sernache
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Vitória de Sernache = 5.70 (league 1.09), Peniche = 0.47 (league 1.10)
| Peniche | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vitória de Sernache | 0 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.2% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 10.5% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.8% · Draw 1.3% · Away win 0.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1