Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 11:00 •
Campo da Portela
Expected Goals
1.68 (league 1.07)
1.08 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.6% | 24.2% | 24.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
1 - 0
10.7%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Lusitânia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD da Serra | 0 | 6.4% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.7% | 11.5% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.0% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | UD da Serra | Lusitânia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 27% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | UD da Serra | Lusitânia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 50% | 29% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 25% | 14% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 25% | 100% | 25% | 57% |
Form: UD da Serra: WDWWLDLW • Lusitânia: WLDLWLL
League goals
| Metric | UD da Serra | Lusitânia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 7 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 3 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | UD da Serra | Lusitânia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 63% | 71% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 38% | 43% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 25% | 14% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | UD da Serra | Lusitânia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | UD da Serra | Lusitânia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | UD da Serra | Lusitânia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 3-5 | — | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | 2-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | UD da Serra | Lusitânia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 59% | 41% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 58.8% | 41.3% |
Advice: Double chance : UD da Serra or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): UD da Serra = 1.68 (league 1.07), Lusitânia = 1.08 (league 1.12)
| Lusitânia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD da Serra | 0 | 6.4% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.7% | 11.5% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.0% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.6% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 24.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1