Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 15:00 •
Campo Gandarada
Expected Goals
0.36 (league 1.10)
0.58 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.7% | 47.4% | 33.8% |
best score tips
0 - 0
38.8%
0 - 1
22.7%
1 - 0
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Naval 1893 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mortágua | 0 | 38.8% | 22.7% | 6.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.1% | 8.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mortágua | Naval 1893 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 87% |
| Attack | 31% | 77% |
| Defense | 38% | 85% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mortágua | Naval 1893 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 25% | 40% | 33% | 80% | 50% | 67% |
| Draws | 50% | 40% | 44% | 0% | 25% | 11% |
| Loses | 25% | 20% | 22% | 20% | 25% | 22% |
Form: Mortágua: DDWWLLDWD • Naval 1893: WLLWWWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Mortágua | Naval 1893 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 3 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mortágua | Naval 1893 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 56% | 89% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 22% | 56% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 11% | 44% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 11% | 11% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mortágua | Naval 1893 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mortágua | Naval 1893 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mortágua | Naval 1893 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | 5-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 3-5 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mortágua | Naval 1893 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 28% | 72% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 20% | 80% |
| Poisson Distribution | 35% | 65% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 28.0% | 72.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Naval 1893 and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mortágua = 0.36 (league 1.10), Naval 1893 = 0.58 (league 1.09)
| Naval 1893 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mortágua | 0 | 38.8% | 22.7% | 6.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.1% | 8.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.7% · Draw 47.4% · Away win 33.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1