Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 15:00 •
Complexo Desportivo Da Murteira
Expected Goals
0.36 (league 1.10)
2.38 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.1% | 13.3% | 79.1% |
best score tips
0 - 2
18.2%
0 - 1
15.3%
0 - 3
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Vitória de Sernache | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Samora Correir | 0 | 6.4% | 15.3% | 18.2% | 14.4% | 8.6% | 4.1% |
| 1 | 2.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Samora Correir | Vitória de Sernache |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 67% |
| Attack | 15% | 77% |
| Defense | 54% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Samora Correir | Vitória de Sernache | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 25% | 0% | 11% | 80% | 75% | 78% |
| Draws | 25% | 40% | 33% | 0% | 25% | 11% |
| Loses | 50% | 60% | 56% | 20% | 0% | 11% |
Form: Samora Correir: DWLLLLDDL • Vitória de Sernache: WWWWWWDLW
League goals
| Metric | Samora Correir | Vitória de Sernache | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 5 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Samora Correir | Vitória de Sernache | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 44% | 78% | 78% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 33% | 67% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 11% | 33% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 22% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Samora Correir | Vitória de Sernache | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Samora Correir | Vitória de Sernache |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Samora Correir | Vitória de Sernache |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | 4-0 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 2-0 | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Samora Correir | Vitória de Sernache |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 17% | 83% |
| Att | 17% | 83% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 11% | 89% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 19.5% | 80.5% |
Advice: Winner : Vitória de Sernache
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Samora Correir = 0.36 (league 1.10), Vitória de Sernache = 2.38 (league 1.09)
| Vitória de Sernache | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Samora Correir | 0 | 6.4% | 15.3% | 18.2% | 14.4% | 8.6% | 4.1% |
| 1 | 2.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.1% · Draw 13.3% · Away win 79.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1