Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.10) 1.83 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.1% 22.5% 43.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.7%
1 - 2
8.9%
2 - 1
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Lajense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lusitânia 0 3.5% 6.3% 5.8% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6%
1 5.3% 9.7% 8.9% 5.4% 2.5% 0.9%
2 4.1% 7.5% 6.8% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7%
3 2.1% 3.8% 3.5% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.8% 1.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLusitâniaLajense
Played55
Form40%13%
Attack45%18%
Defense27%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lusitânia Lajense
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins25%40%33%20%25%22%
Draws0%20%11%40%25%33%
Loses75%40%56%40%50%44%

Form: Lusitânia: WLDLWLLLW • Lajense: LWWDDLLDL

League goals

Metric Lusitânia Lajense
HATHAT
GF total56116410
GF avg1.31.21.21.21.01.1
GA total86146511
GA avg2.01.21.61.21.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLusitâniaLajense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%78%67%78%
1.544%44%44%33%
2.511%22%0%11%
3.50%11%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLusitâniaLajense
HATHAT
Clean sheets022112
Failed to score123123

Penalties

MetricLusitâniaLajense
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricLusitâniaLajense
Wins12
Draws12
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-32-00-2
Biggest losses2-43-02-32-0
Goals For2322
Goals Against4332

Model comparison

MetricLusitâniaLajense
Form75%25%
Att71%29%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total57.0%43.0%

Advice: Double chance : Lusitânia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away2.55 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.75 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Marathonbet
No1.89 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lusitânia = 1.53 (league 1.10), Lajense = 1.83 (league 1.09)

Lajense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lusitânia 0 3.5% 6.3% 5.8% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6%
1 5.3% 9.7% 8.9% 5.4% 2.5% 0.9%
2 4.1% 7.5% 6.8% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7%
3 2.1% 3.8% 3.5% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.8% 1.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.1% · Draw 22.5% · Away win 43.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1