Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 15:00 •
Estádio Municipal Nuno Álvares Pereira
Expected Goals
2.58 (league 1.08)
0.11 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 85.5% | 8.8% | 0.9% |
best score tips
2 - 0
22.6%
3 - 0
19.5%
1 - 0
17.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Fátima | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vitória de Sernache | 0 | 6.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 22.6% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 19.5% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 12.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | Fátima |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 40% |
| Attack | 88% | 63% |
| Defense | 88% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | Fátima | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 80% | 80% | 80% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Draws | 0% | 20% | 10% | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| Loses | 20% | 0% | 10% | 40% | 60% | 50% |
Form: Vitória de Sernache: WWWWWWDLWW • Fátima: LDLWWWLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | Fátima | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 9 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vitória de Sernache | Fátima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 30% | 70% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 10% | 20% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 30% | 0% | 10% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | Fátima | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | Fátima |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | Fátima |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 2-4 | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | Fátima |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 89% | 11% |
| Poisson Distribution | 95% | 5% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 74.2% | 26.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Vitória de Sernache or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Vitória de Sernache = 2.58 (league 1.08), Fátima = 0.11 (league 1.11)
| Fátima | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vitória de Sernache | 0 | 6.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 22.6% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 19.5% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 12.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 85.5% · Draw 8.8% · Away win 0.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1