Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 15:00 •
Estádio Municipal Vale do Romeiro
Expected Goals
2.61 (league 1.10)
0.88 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5% | 15.2% | 10.2% |
best score tips
2 - 0
10.4%
2 - 1
9.1%
3 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Peniche | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Benfica Castelo Branco | 0 | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.0% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.4% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.1% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Benfica Castelo Branco | Peniche |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 27% |
| Attack | 100% | 25% |
| Defense | 38% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Benfica Castelo Branco | Peniche | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 60% | 40% | 50% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Draws | 20% | 20% | 20% | 0% | 20% | 10% |
| Loses | 20% | 40% | 30% | 60% | 40% | 50% |
Form: Benfica Castelo Branco: DWLLWDWWWL • Peniche: LWWLWLLWDL
League goals
| Metric | Benfica Castelo Branco | Peniche | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 7 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 4 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Benfica Castelo Branco | Peniche | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 70% | 60% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 40% | 20% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 30% | 0% | 20% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Benfica Castelo Branco | Peniche | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Benfica Castelo Branco | Peniche |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Benfica Castelo Branco | Peniche |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 4-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Benfica Castelo Branco | Peniche |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 83% | 17% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 63.8% | 36.2% |
Advice: Winner : Benfica Castelo Branco
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.07 @ 1xBet
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.38 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.03 @ 1xBet
No1.78 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Benfica Castelo Branco = 2.61 (league 1.10), Peniche = 0.88 (league 1.09)
| Peniche | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Benfica Castelo Branco | 0 | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.0% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.4% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.1% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.5% · Draw 15.2% · Away win 10.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1