Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 15:00 •
Municipal Jose Bento Pessoa
Expected Goals
4.65 (league 1.10)
1.79 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% |
best score tips
4 - 1
5.6%
5 - 1
5.2%
4 - 2
5.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Os Marialvas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Naval 1893 | 0 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Naval 1893 | Os Marialvas |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 40% |
| Attack | 75% | 25% |
| Defense | 75% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
94%
FT probability
2.5+
66%
FT probability
3.5+
47%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Naval 1893 | Os Marialvas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 80% | 50% | 64% | 33% | 40% | 36% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 18% | 17% | 0% | 9% |
| Loses | 20% | 17% | 18% | 50% | 60% | 55% |
Form: Naval 1893: WLLWWWWDWDW • Os Marialvas: LWWLDLLWWLL
League goals
| Metric | Naval 1893 | Os Marialvas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 6 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| GF avg | 3.2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 7 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Naval 1893 | Os Marialvas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 55% | 64% | 91% |
| 1.5 | 55% | 18% | 27% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 36% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 9% | 9% | 9% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Naval 1893 | Os Marialvas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Naval 1893 | Os Marialvas |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Naval 1893 | Os Marialvas |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 3-5 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Naval 1893 | Os Marialvas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 65% | 35% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 67% | 33% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 67.5% | 32.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Naval 1893 or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Naval 1893 = 4.65 (league 1.10), Os Marialvas = 1.79 (league 1.09)
| Os Marialvas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Naval 1893 | 0 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.6% · Draw 8.6% · Away win 7.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1