Expected Goals
0.51 (league 1.10) 1.54 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.1% 25.2% 62.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.9%
0 - 2
15.3%
0 - 0
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Benfica Castelo Branco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Samora Correir 0 12.9% 19.9% 15.3% 7.8% 3.0% 0.9%
1 6.6% 10.1% 7.8% 4.0% 1.5% 0.5%
2 1.7% 2.6% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSamora CorreirBenfica Castelo Branco
Played55
Form13%80%
Attack25%100%
Defense50%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.613 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Samora Correir Benfica Castelo Branco
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins20%0%9%67%40%55%
Draws20%33%27%17%20%18%
Loses60%67%64%17%40%27%

Form: Samora Correir: DWLLLLDDLLL • Benfica Castelo Branco: DWLLWDWWWLW

League goals

Metric Samora Correir Benfica Castelo Branco
HATHAT
GF total23514721
GF avg0.40.50.52.31.41.9
GA total68144711
GA avg1.21.31.30.71.41.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSamora CorreirBenfica Castelo Branco
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.545%82%82%64%
1.50%36%55%36%
2.50%9%36%0%
3.50%0%9%0%
4.50%0%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSamora CorreirBenfica Castelo Branco
HATHAT
Clean sheets112404
Failed to score336112

Penalties

MetricSamora CorreirBenfica Castelo Branco
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricSamora CorreirBenfica Castelo Branco
Wins13
Draws21
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—5-01-3
Biggest losses0-32-00-22-0
Goals For1153
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricSamora CorreirBenfica Castelo Branco
Form14%86%
Att19%81%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution21%79%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total21.8%78.3%

Advice: Winner : Benfica Castelo Branco

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.65 @ Superbet
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away2.10 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ Superbet
No1.70 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Samora Correir = 0.51 (league 1.10), Benfica Castelo Branco = 1.54 (league 1.09)

Benfica Castelo Branco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Samora Correir 0 12.9% 19.9% 15.3% 7.8% 3.0% 0.9%
1 6.6% 10.1% 7.8% 4.0% 1.5% 0.5%
2 1.7% 2.6% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.1% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 62.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1