Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 15:00 •
Estadio Grupo Desportivo Peniche
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.10)
1.46 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.1% | 24.7% | 37.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
1 - 2
8.4%
2 - 1
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
| UD da Serra | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Peniche | 0 | 5.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Peniche | UD da Serra |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 53% |
| Attack | 17% | 42% |
| Defense | 17% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Peniche | UD da Serra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 40% | 33% | 36% | 50% | 40% | 45% |
| Draws | 0% | 17% | 9% | 50% | 20% | 36% |
| Loses | 60% | 50% | 55% | 0% | 40% | 18% |
Form: Peniche: LWWLWLLWDLL • UD da Serra: WDWWLDLWWDD
League goals
| Metric | Peniche | UD da Serra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 5 | 13 | 18 | 4 | 8 | 12 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Peniche | UD da Serra | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 55% | 73% | 73% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 45% | 45% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 27% | 18% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 9% | 18% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 9% | 9% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Peniche | UD da Serra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Peniche | UD da Serra |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Peniche | UD da Serra |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 2-3 | 4-1 | 3-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 5-0 | — | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Peniche | UD da Serra |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 34.8% | 65.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or UD da Serra
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Peniche = 1.45 (league 1.10), UD da Serra = 1.46 (league 1.09)
| UD da Serra | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Peniche | 0 | 5.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.1% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 37.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1