Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 15:00 •
Campo da Portela
Expected Goals
2.01 (league 1.10)
0.32 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 76.3% | 17.1% | 4.9% |
best score tips
2 - 0
19.6%
1 - 0
19.5%
3 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Samora Correir | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD da Serra | 0 | 9.7% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.5% | 6.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.6% | 6.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.1% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | UD da Serra | Samora Correir |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 7% |
| Attack | 88% | 38% |
| Defense | 38% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | UD da Serra | Samora Correir | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 42% | 17% | 0% | 8% |
| Draws | 50% | 17% | 33% | 17% | 33% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 25% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
Form: UD da Serra: WDWWLDLWWDDL • Samora Correir: DWLLLLDDLLLL
League goals
| Metric | UD da Serra | Samora Correir | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 10 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| GA total | 4 | 11 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | UD da Serra | Samora Correir | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 67% | 42% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 33% | 0% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 25% | 0% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | UD da Serra | Samora Correir | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | UD da Serra | Samora Correir |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | UD da Serra | Samora Correir |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 3-5 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | UD da Serra | Samora Correir |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 89% | 11% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 84% | 16% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 75.3% | 24.8% |
Advice: Double chance : UD da Serra or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): UD da Serra = 2.01 (league 1.10), Samora Correir = 0.32 (league 1.08)
| Samora Correir | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD da Serra | 0 | 9.7% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.5% | 6.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.6% | 6.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.1% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.3% · Draw 17.1% · Away win 4.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1