Expected Goals
2.50 (league 1.11) 0.32 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
80.7% 11.8% 3.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
18.6%
3 - 0
15.5%
1 - 0
14.9%
Score & goals probability table
Fátima
0 1 2 3 4 5
Benfica Castelo Branco 0 6.0% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.9% 4.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.6% 6.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.5% 5.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.7% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBenfica Castelo BrancoFátima
Played55
Form80%33%
Attack85%23%
Defense77%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Benfica Castelo Branco Fátima
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins67%50%58%33%33%33%
Draws17%17%17%33%17%25%
Loses17%33%25%33%50%42%

Form: Benfica Castelo Branco: DWLLWDWWWLWW • Fátima: LDLWWWLLLWDD

League goals

Metric Benfica Castelo Branco Fátima
HATHAT
GF total148227310
GF avg2.31.31.81.20.50.8
GA total47117714
GA avg0.71.20.91.21.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBenfica Castelo BrancoFátima
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%58%58%58%
1.550%33%17%42%
2.533%0%8%17%
3.58%0%0%0%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBenfica Castelo BrancoFátima
HATHAT
Clean sheets415235
Failed to score112235

Penalties

MetricBenfica Castelo BrancoFátima
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricBenfica Castelo BrancoFátima
Wins33
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-33-10-1
Biggest losses0-22-01-33-0
Goals For5331
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricBenfica Castelo BrancoFátima
Form71%29%
Att79%21%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution87%13%
H2h20%80%
Goals25%75%
Total57.5%42.7%

Advice: Winner : Benfica Castelo Branco

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ Superbet
Draw3.20 @ Betano
Away4.33 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.55 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ Superbet
No1.64 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Benfica Castelo Branco = 2.50 (league 1.11), Fátima = 0.32 (league 1.09)

Fátima
0 1 2 3 4 5
Benfica Castelo Branco 0 6.0% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.9% 4.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.6% 6.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.5% 5.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.7% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 80.7% · Draw 11.8% · Away win 3.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1