Sat, Jan 10 2026 • 15:00 •
Campo da Portela
Expected Goals
1.60 (league 1.10)
0.26 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 71.2% | 22.7% | 5.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
25.0%
2 - 0
20.0%
0 - 0
15.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Fátima | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD da Serra | 0 | 15.6% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.0% | 6.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 20.0% | 5.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.7% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | UD da Serra | Fátima |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 33% |
| Attack | 64% | 27% |
| Defense | 45% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | UD da Serra | Fátima | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| Wins | 43% | 33% | 38% | 33% | 29% | 31% |
| Draws | 57% | 17% | 38% | 33% | 14% | 23% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 23% | 33% | 57% | 46% |
Form: UD da Serra: WDWWLDLWWDDLD • Fátima: LDLWWWLLLWDDL
League goals
| Metric | UD da Serra | Fátima | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 10 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 5 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | UD da Serra | Fátima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 69% | 54% | 62% |
| 1.5 | 46% | 31% | 15% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 23% | 8% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | UD da Serra | Fátima | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | UD da Serra | Fátima |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | UD da Serra | Fátima |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 3-5 | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | UD da Serra | Fátima |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 83% | 17% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 60.3% | 39.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : UD da Serra or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): UD da Serra = 1.60 (league 1.10), Fátima = 0.26 (league 1.09)
| Fátima | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD da Serra | 0 | 15.6% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.0% | 6.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 20.0% | 5.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.7% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.2% · Draw 22.7% · Away win 5.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1