Wed, Mar 4 2026 • 15:00 •
Estádio Municipal da Marinha Grande
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.12)
0.52 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.5% | 44.0% | 25.6% |
best score tips
0 - 0
33.1%
1 - 0
19.5%
0 - 1
17.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Naval 1893 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marinhense | 0 | 33.1% | 17.1% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Marinhense | Naval 1893 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 33% |
| Attack | 33% | 17% |
| Defense | 67% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
53%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
55%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Marinhense | Naval 1893 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| Wins | 22% | 25% | 24% | 67% | 30% | 47% |
| Draws | 56% | 25% | 41% | 22% | 30% | 26% |
| Loses | 22% | 50% | 35% | 11% | 40% | 26% |
Form: Marinhense: WDDLLWLDLDDLLDWWD • Naval 1893: WLLWWWWDWDWWLDWLDDL
League goals
| Metric | Marinhense | Naval 1893 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 7 | 26 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 7 | 13 | 20 | 8 | 11 | 19 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Marinhense | Naval 1893 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 53% | 59% | 74% | 58% |
| 1.5 | 12% | 29% | 32% | 26% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 24% | 21% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 5% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Marinhense | Naval 1893 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Marinhense | Naval 1893 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Marinhense | Naval 1893 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-2 | 5-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-0 | 3-5 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Marinhense | Naval 1893 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 51.2% | 48.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Marinhense or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Marinhense = 0.59 (league 1.12), Naval 1893 = 0.52 (league 1.09)
| Naval 1893 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marinhense | 0 | 33.1% | 17.1% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.5% · Draw 44.0% · Away win 25.6%
vtt 2 , vtd1