Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.12) 1.62 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.4% 24.7% 48.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
0 - 1
10.4%
1 - 2
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Os Marialvas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lusitânia 0 6.4% 10.4% 8.4% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6%
1 7.2% 11.7% 9.5% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.1% 6.6% 5.3% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.5% 2.5% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLusitâniaOs Marialvas
Played55
Form13%47%
Attack21%43%
Defense50%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lusitânia Os Marialvas
HATHAT
Played98178816
Wins11%25%18%38%38%38%
Draws22%25%24%25%0%13%
Loses67%50%59%38%63%50%

Form: Lusitânia: WLDLWLLLWLDLDLLLD • Os Marialvas: LWWLDLLWWLLLDLWW

League goals

Metric Lusitânia Os Marialvas
HATHAT
GF total881610919
GF avg0.91.00.91.31.11.2
GA total141125101121
GA avg1.61.41.51.31.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLusitâniaOs Marialvas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%82%69%88%
1.524%47%31%31%
2.56%12%6%6%
3.50%6%6%6%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLusitâniaOs Marialvas
HATHAT
Clean sheets123022
Failed to score336235

Penalties

MetricLusitâniaOs Marialvas
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLusitâniaOs Marialvas
Wins12
Draws11
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-32-11-5
Biggest losses2-43-01-24-1
Goals For2325
Goals Against4324

Model comparison

MetricLusitâniaOs Marialvas
Form22%78%
Att33%67%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h80%20%
Goals67%33%
Total47.2%52.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Os Marialvas

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.74 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away2.43 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ Superbet
No1.79 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.37 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.58 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lusitânia = 1.13 (league 1.12), Os Marialvas = 1.62 (league 1.09)

Os Marialvas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lusitânia 0 6.4% 10.4% 8.4% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6%
1 7.2% 11.7% 9.5% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.1% 6.6% 5.3% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.5% 2.5% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.4% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 48.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1