Wed, Mar 11 2026 • 18:00 •
Estadio Municipal de Cantanhede
Expected Goals
1.86 (league 1.12)
0.96 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.4% | 22.4% | 19.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
11.1%
1 - 1
10.6%
2 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Marinhense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Os Marialvas | 0 | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.1% | 10.6% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.3% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Os Marialvas | Marinhense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 73% |
| Attack | 77% | 46% |
| Defense | 69% | 85% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Os Marialvas | Marinhense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 10 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| Wins | 38% | 40% | 39% | 30% | 25% | 28% |
| Draws | 25% | 10% | 17% | 50% | 25% | 39% |
| Loses | 38% | 50% | 44% | 20% | 50% | 33% |
Form: Os Marialvas: LWWLDLLWWLLLDLWWWD • Marinhense: WDDLLWLDLDDLLDWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Os Marialvas | Marinhense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 15 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 10 | 12 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 21 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Os Marialvas | Marinhense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 83% | 56% | 61% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 28% | 17% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 6% | 0% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 6% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Os Marialvas | Marinhense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Os Marialvas | Marinhense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Os Marialvas | Marinhense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-5 | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-1 | 0-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Os Marialvas | Marinhense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 48% | 52% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 33% | 67% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 46.5% | 53.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Marinhense
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Os Marialvas = 1.86 (league 1.12), Marinhense = 0.96 (league 1.09)
| Marinhense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Os Marialvas | 0 | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.1% | 10.6% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.3% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.4% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 19.0%
vtt 2 , vtd2