Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 15:00 •
Estádio Municipal de Cantanhede
Expected Goals
2.09 (league 1.12)
1.08 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 58.7% | 20.5% | 18.7% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 1
9.5%
2 - 0
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Peniche | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Os Marialvas | 0 | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.8% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.2% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Os Marialvas | Peniche |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 40% |
| Attack | 77% | 46% |
| Defense | 69% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Os Marialvas | Peniche | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 10 | 18 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 38% | 40% | 39% | 40% | 22% | 32% |
| Draws | 25% | 10% | 17% | 30% | 33% | 32% |
| Loses | 38% | 50% | 44% | 30% | 44% | 37% |
Form: Os Marialvas: LWWLDLLWWLLLDLWWWD • Peniche: LWWLWLLWDLLWDDDDDLW
League goals
| Metric | Os Marialvas | Peniche | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 15 | 25 | 13 | 8 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 10 | 12 | 22 | 10 | 16 | 26 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Os Marialvas | Peniche | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 83% | 63% | 68% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 28% | 26% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 6% | 16% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 6% | 5% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Os Marialvas | Peniche | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Os Marialvas | Peniche |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Os Marialvas | Peniche |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 5 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-5 | 4-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-1 | 0-3 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Os Marialvas | Peniche |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 88% | 13% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 66.0% | 34.6% |
Advice: Double chance : Os Marialvas or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Os Marialvas = 2.09 (league 1.12), Peniche = 1.08 (league 1.09)
| Peniche | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Os Marialvas | 0 | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.8% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.2% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.7% · Draw 20.5% · Away win 18.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1