Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 15:00 •
Estádio Municipal José Bento Pessoa
Expected Goals
3.01 (league 1.12)
0.66 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 75.4% | 10.8% | 5.3% |
best score tips
3 - 0
11.6%
2 - 0
11.5%
4 - 0
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Samora Correir | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Naval 1893 | 0 | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.7% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.5% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.6% | 7.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.7% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Naval 1893 | Samora Correir |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 47% |
| Attack | 17% | 42% |
| Defense | 58% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Naval 1893 | Samora Correir | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| Wins | 67% | 30% | 47% | 33% | 10% | 21% |
| Draws | 22% | 30% | 26% | 11% | 40% | 26% |
| Loses | 11% | 40% | 26% | 56% | 50% | 53% |
Form: Naval 1893: WLLWWWWDWDWWLDWLDDL • Samora Correir: DWLLLLDDLLLLDWLLWDW
League goals
| Metric | Naval 1893 | Samora Correir | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 7 | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 8 | 11 | 19 | 9 | 16 | 25 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Naval 1893 | Samora Correir | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 58% | 53% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 26% | 16% | 37% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 5% | 0% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 5% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Naval 1893 | Samora Correir | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Naval 1893 | Samora Correir |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Naval 1893 | Samora Correir |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-1 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 3-5 | 2-0 | 0-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Naval 1893 | Samora Correir |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 78% | 22% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 51.8% | 48.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Naval 1893 or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Naval 1893 = 3.01 (league 1.12), Samora Correir = 0.66 (league 1.09)
| Samora Correir | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Naval 1893 | 0 | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.7% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.5% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.6% | 7.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.7% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.4% · Draw 10.8% · Away win 5.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1