Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.16) 0.43 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.3% 36.5% 16.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
25.1%
1 - 0
23.9%
2 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Fátima
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mortágua 0 25.1% 10.8% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.9% 10.3% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.4% 4.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMortáguaFátima
Played55
Form80%40%
Attack42%58%
Defense83%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mortágua Fátima
HATHAT
Played8111991019
Wins38%55%47%33%20%26%
Draws38%18%26%44%30%37%
Loses25%27%26%22%50%37%

Form: Mortágua: DDWWLLDWDDWLWLWWWWL • Fátima: LDLWWWLLLWDDLDWLDDD

League goals

Metric Mortágua Fátima
HATHAT
GF total8111912517
GF avg1.01.01.01.30.50.9
GA total71118101121
GA avg0.91.00.91.11.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMortáguaFátima
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%58%63%63%
1.526%21%21%37%
2.55%11%5%11%
3.50%5%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMortáguaFátima
HATHAT
Clean sheets358347
Failed to score336257

Penalties

MetricMortáguaFátima
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricMortáguaFátima
Wins43
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-33-10-1
Biggest losses0-24-01-33-0
Goals For2331
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricMortáguaFátima
Form67%33%
Att42%58%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h88%13%
Goals83%17%
Total70.2%30.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Mortágua or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ William Hill
Draw3.10 @ Unibet
Away4.20 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.55 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ Marathonbet
No1.68 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mortágua = 0.95 (league 1.16), Fátima = 0.43 (league 1.05)

Fátima
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mortágua 0 25.1% 10.8% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.9% 10.3% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.4% 4.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.3% · Draw 36.5% · Away win 16.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1