Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 15:00 •
Estadio Grupo Desportivo Peniche
Expected Goals
0.46 (league 1.13)
1.11 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.3% | 32.8% | 51.8% |
best score tips
0 - 1
23.0%
0 - 0
20.7%
0 - 2
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Vitória de Sernache | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Peniche | 0 | 20.7% | 23.0% | 12.8% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.6% | 10.6% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Peniche | Vitória de Sernache |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 53% |
| Attack | 75% | 25% |
| Defense | 50% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Peniche | Vitória de Sernache | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 40% | 30% | 35% | 70% | 60% | 65% |
| Draws | 30% | 30% | 30% | 10% | 40% | 25% |
| Loses | 30% | 40% | 35% | 20% | 0% | 10% |
Form: Peniche: LWWLWLLWDLLWDDDDDLWW • Vitória de Sernache: WWWWWWDLWWDWWWDWDWDL
League goals
| Metric | Peniche | Vitória de Sernache | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 11 | 24 | 16 | 12 | 28 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 10 | 17 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Peniche | Vitória de Sernache | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 70% | 70% | 35% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 40% | 45% | 5% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 15% | 15% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 5% | 10% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Peniche | Vitória de Sernache | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Peniche | Vitória de Sernache |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Peniche | Vitória de Sernache |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-3 | 4-0 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 5-0 | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Peniche | Vitória de Sernache |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 25% | 75% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 55.8% | 44.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Peniche or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Peniche = 0.46 (league 1.13), Vitória de Sernache = 1.11 (league 1.08)
| Vitória de Sernache | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Peniche | 0 | 20.7% | 23.0% | 12.8% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.6% | 10.6% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.3% · Draw 32.8% · Away win 51.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1