Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 15:00 •
Complexo Desportivo Da Murteira Campo 1
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.11)
1.40 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.2% | 27.5% | 55.0% |
best score tips
0 - 1
18.1%
0 - 0
12.9%
0 - 2
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Os Marialvas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Samora Correir | 0 | 12.9% | 18.1% | 12.7% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Samora Correir | Os Marialvas |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Attack | 55% | 82% |
| Defense | 27% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Samora Correir | Os Marialvas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 11 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 33% | 9% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 35% |
| Draws | 11% | 36% | 25% | 30% | 10% | 20% |
| Loses | 56% | 55% | 55% | 40% | 50% | 45% |
Form: Samora Correir: DWLLLLDDLLLLDWLLWDWL • Os Marialvas: LWWLDLLWWLLLDLWWWDLD
League goals
| Metric | Samora Correir | Os Marialvas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 9 | 14 | 12 | 15 | 27 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 9 | 18 | 27 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Samora Correir | Os Marialvas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 55% | 80% | 75% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 15% | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 5% | 10% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Samora Correir | Os Marialvas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Samora Correir | Os Marialvas |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Samora Correir | Os Marialvas |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-0 | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Samora Correir | Os Marialvas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 26% | 74% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 36.8% | 63.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Os Marialvas
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Samora Correir = 0.65 (league 1.11), Os Marialvas = 1.40 (league 1.07)
| Os Marialvas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Samora Correir | 0 | 12.9% | 18.1% | 12.7% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.2% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 55.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1