Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 15:00 •
Estádio Municipal José Bento Pessoa
Expected Goals
1.82 (league 1.16)
0.86 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 59.0% | 22.6% | 17.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
12.5%
2 - 0
11.4%
1 - 1
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Mortágua | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Naval 1893 | 0 | 6.9% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.5% | 10.7% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.4% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.9% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Naval 1893 | Mortágua |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 67% | 67% |
| Defense | 17% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Naval 1893 | Mortágua | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 12 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| Wins | 70% | 33% | 50% | 30% | 55% | 43% |
| Draws | 20% | 25% | 23% | 40% | 18% | 29% |
| Loses | 10% | 42% | 27% | 30% | 27% | 29% |
Form: Naval 1893: WLLWWWWDWDWWLDWLDDLLWW • Mortágua: DDWWLLDWDDWLWLWWWWLLD
League goals
| Metric | Naval 1893 | Mortágua | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 9 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 20 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 9 | 13 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 20 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Naval 1893 | Mortágua | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 59% | 67% | 62% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 27% | 24% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 5% | 5% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 5% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Naval 1893 | Mortágua | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Naval 1893 | Mortágua |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Naval 1893 | Mortágua |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-1 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 3-5 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Naval 1893 | Mortágua |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 51.3% | 48.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Naval 1893 or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Naval 1893 = 1.82 (league 1.16), Mortágua = 0.86 (league 1.05)
| Mortágua | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Naval 1893 | 0 | 6.9% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.5% | 10.7% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.4% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.9% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.0% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 17.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1