Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 15:00 •
Estadio Grupo Desportivo Peniche
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.16)
1.05 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.7% | 29.2% | 33.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
1 - 0
12.8%
0 - 1
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Benfica Castelo Branco | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Peniche | 0 | 11.2% | 11.7% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.8% | 13.4% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.3% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Peniche | Benfica Castelo Branco |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 53% |
| Attack | 75% | 33% |
| Defense | 8% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Peniche | Benfica Castelo Branco | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 36% | 25% | 30% | 67% | 45% | 57% |
| Draws | 27% | 25% | 26% | 17% | 18% | 17% |
| Loses | 36% | 50% | 43% | 17% | 36% | 26% |
Form: Peniche: LWWLWLLWDLLWDDDDDLWWLLL • Benfica Castelo Branco: DWLLWDWWWLWWWWLLWWLWWDD
League goals
| Metric | Peniche | Benfica Castelo Branco | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 15 | 28 | 27 | 12 | 39 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 11 | 26 | 37 | 8 | 12 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Peniche | Benfica Castelo Branco | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 74% | 74% | 61% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 43% | 43% | 26% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 22% | 30% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 13% | 9% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 9% | 9% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Peniche | Benfica Castelo Branco | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Peniche | Benfica Castelo Branco |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Peniche | Benfica Castelo Branco |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-3 | 6-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 5-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Peniche | Benfica Castelo Branco |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 21% | 79% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 43.8% | 56.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Benfica Castelo Branco
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Peniche = 1.14 (league 1.16), Benfica Castelo Branco = 1.05 (league 1.05)
| Benfica Castelo Branco | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Peniche | 0 | 11.2% | 11.7% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.8% | 13.4% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.3% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.7% · Draw 29.2% · Away win 33.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1