Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 15:00 •
Estádio Municipal de Tábua
Expected Goals
2.06 (league 1.16)
0.72 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 66.9% | 19.4% | 11.8% |
best score tips
2 - 0
13.2%
1 - 0
12.8%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| UD da Serra | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Oliveira Hospital | 0 | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.8% | 9.2% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.2% | 9.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.1% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Oliveira Hospital | UD da Serra |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 87% |
| Attack | 83% | 50% |
| Defense | 83% | 92% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Oliveira Hospital | UD da Serra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 55% | 42% | 48% | 50% | 45% | 48% |
| Draws | 27% | 42% | 35% | 50% | 18% | 35% |
| Loses | 18% | 17% | 17% | 0% | 36% | 17% |
Form: Oliveira Hospital: LWLLDWDWDWDWWWDWLDDWWDW • UD da Serra: WDWWLDLWWDDLDDLWDWWWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Oliveira Hospital | UD da Serra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 13 | 32 | 16 | 17 | 33 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 5 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 20 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Oliveira Hospital | UD da Serra | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 48% | 74% | 52% |
| 1.5 | 39% | 4% | 39% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 0% | 13% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Oliveira Hospital | UD da Serra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Oliveira Hospital | UD da Serra |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Oliveira Hospital | UD da Serra |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-3 | 4-1 | 3-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | — | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Oliveira Hospital | UD da Serra |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46% | 54% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 52.2% | 48.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Oliveira Hospital or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Oliveira Hospital = 2.06 (league 1.16), UD da Serra = 0.72 (league 1.05)
| UD da Serra | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Oliveira Hospital | 0 | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.8% | 9.2% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.2% | 9.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.1% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.9% · Draw 19.4% · Away win 11.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1