Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 14:00 • Campo Engenheiro Carlos Salema
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.93 (league 1.30) 0.85 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.2% 21.4% 15.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.9%
2 - 0
11.5%
1 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Portimonense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oriental Lisboa 0 6.2% 5.3% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.9% 10.2% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.5% 9.8% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 7.4% 6.3% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.6% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOriental LisboaPortimonense
Played44
Form42%25%
Attack45%36%
Defense64%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.34 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 17 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Oriental Lisboa Portimonense
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%0%25%0%50%25%
Draws50%50%50%0%0%0%
Loses0%50%25%100%50%75%

Form: Oriental Lisboa: WDDL • Portimonense: LLWL

League goals

Metric Oriental Lisboa Portimonense
HATHAT
GF total505224
GF avg2.50.01.31.01.01.0
GA total224527
GA avg1.01.01.02.51.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOriental LisboaPortimonense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%50%75%100%
1.550%50%25%50%
2.525%0%0%25%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOriental LisboaPortimonense
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score022011

Penalties

MetricOriental LisboaPortimonense
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricOriental LisboaPortimonense
Wins11
Draws20
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0——1-2
Biggest losses—2-01-31-0
Goals For3012
Goals Against2231

Model comparison

MetricOriental LisboaPortimonense
Form63%38%
Att56%44%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total61.8%38.5%

Advice: Double chance : Oriental Lisboa or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Oriental Lisboa = 1.93 (league 1.30), Portimonense = 0.85 (league 1.17)

Portimonense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oriental Lisboa 0 6.2% 5.3% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.9% 10.2% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.5% 9.8% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 7.4% 6.3% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.6% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.2% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 15.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1