Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 14:00 •
Campo Bela Vista
Expected Goals
0.57 (league 1.31)
0.62 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.3% | 42.1% | 30.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
30.3%
0 - 1
18.9%
1 - 0
17.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Moncarapachense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Comércio Indústria | 0 | 30.3% | 18.9% | 5.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.3% | 10.8% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Comércio Indústria | Moncarapachense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 17% | 42% |
| Attack | 9% | 36% |
| Defense | 36% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.8 | 4 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
58%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Comércio Indústria | Moncarapachense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
Form: Comércio Indústria: LDLD • Moncarapachense: LDWD
League goals
| Metric | Comércio Indústria | Moncarapachense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Comércio Indústria | Moncarapachense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 25% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Comércio Indústria | Moncarapachense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Comércio Indústria | Moncarapachense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Comércio Indústria | Moncarapachense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | — | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Comércio Indústria | Moncarapachense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 20% | 80% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 42% | 58% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 30.4% | 69.6% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Moncarapachense and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Comércio Indústria = 0.57 (league 1.31), Moncarapachense = 0.62 (league 1.20)
| Moncarapachense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Comércio Indústria | 0 | 30.3% | 18.9% | 5.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.3% | 10.8% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.3% · Draw 42.1% · Away win 30.7%
Vtot 2 , Vtod1