Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 14:00 •
Estádio António Almeida Correia
Expected Goals
0.22 (league 1.36)
1.67 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.4% | 21.3% | 73.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
25.2%
0 - 2
21.0%
0 - 0
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Atlético Malveira | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Alcochetense | 0 | 15.1% | 25.2% | 21.0% | 11.7% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Alcochetense | Atlético Malveira |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Attack | 36% | 36% |
| Defense | 64% | 91% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
52%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
52%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Alcochetense | Atlético Malveira | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 33% | 100% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 100% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 25% | 33% | 0% | 25% |
Form: Alcochetense: WDLD • Atlético Malveira: DLWW
League goals
| Metric | Alcochetense | Atlético Malveira | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Alcochetense | Atlético Malveira | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 50% | 50% | 25% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 50% | 50% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Alcochetense | Atlético Malveira | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Alcochetense | Atlético Malveira |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Alcochetense | Atlético Malveira |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Alcochetense | Atlético Malveira |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 20% | 80% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 37.3% | 62.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Atlético Malveira and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Alcochetense = 0.22 (league 1.36), Atlético Malveira = 1.67 (league 1.20)
| Atlético Malveira | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Alcochetense | 0 | 15.1% | 25.2% | 21.0% | 11.7% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.4% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 73.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1