Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 14:00 •
Estádio Do Algarve
Expected Goals
2.28 (league 1.31)
0.83 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 67.2% | 17.8% | 12.1% |
best score tips
2 - 0
11.6%
1 - 0
10.1%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| FC Alverca II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Louletano | 0 | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.1% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.6% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.8% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Louletano | FC Alverca II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 53% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 67% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Louletano | FC Alverca II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 100% | 33% | 60% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
| Draws | 0% | 67% | 40% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
Form: Louletano: WDWWD • FC Alverca II: WDLWD
League goals
| Metric | Louletano | FC Alverca II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Louletano | FC Alverca II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 40% | 80% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 0% | 60% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 40% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Louletano | FC Alverca II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Louletano | FC Alverca II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Louletano | FC Alverca II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Louletano | FC Alverca II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 78% | 22% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 62.0% | 38.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Louletano or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Louletano = 2.28 (league 1.31), FC Alverca II = 0.83 (league 1.20)
| FC Alverca II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Louletano | 0 | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.1% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.6% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.8% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.2% · Draw 17.8% · Away win 12.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1