Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 14:00 •
Estádio das Seixas
Expected Goals
0.51 (league 1.36)
0.13 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 36.6% | 56.2% | 7.2% |
best score tips
0 - 0
52.7%
1 - 0
27.1%
2 - 0
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
| FC Serpa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Malveira | 0 | 52.7% | 6.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.1% | 3.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atlético Malveira | FC Serpa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 67% |
| Attack | 83% | 100% |
| Defense | 83% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
0.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
41%
FT probability
2.5+
29%
FT probability
3.5+
20%
FT probability
BTTS
49%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atlético Malveira | FC Serpa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 33% | 100% | 60% | 100% | 0% | 60% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
| Loses | 33% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
Form: Atlético Malveira: DLWWW • FC Serpa: LWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Atlético Malveira | FC Serpa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atlético Malveira | FC Serpa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 20% | 80% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 0% | 40% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atlético Malveira | FC Serpa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atlético Malveira | FC Serpa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atlético Malveira | FC Serpa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atlético Malveira | FC Serpa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 60.5% | 39.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Atlético Malveira or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Atlético Malveira = 0.51 (league 1.36), FC Serpa = 0.13 (league 1.20)
| FC Serpa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Malveira | 0 | 52.7% | 6.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.1% | 3.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.6% · Draw 56.2% · Away win 7.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1