Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 15:00 •
Campo Sintético Complexo Desportivo Manuel Baião
Expected Goals
1.98 (league 1.31)
0.25 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 77.8% | 16.8% | 3.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
21.3%
2 - 0
21.1%
3 - 0
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Portimonense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FC Serpa | 0 | 10.8% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.3% | 5.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 21.1% | 5.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.9% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | FC Serpa | Portimonense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 40% |
| Attack | 56% | 44% |
| Defense | 75% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | FC Serpa | Portimonense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 50% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 67% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 17% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
Form: FC Serpa: LWWDWD • Portimonense: LLWLLW
League goals
| Metric | FC Serpa | Portimonense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | FC Serpa | Portimonense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 67% | 83% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 17% | 33% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | FC Serpa | Portimonense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | FC Serpa | Portimonense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | FC Serpa | Portimonense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | FC Serpa | Portimonense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 65% | 35% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 69% | 31% |
| Poisson Distribution | 87% | 13% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 69.3% | 30.8% |
Advice: Double chance : FC Serpa or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): FC Serpa = 1.98 (league 1.31), Portimonense = 0.25 (league 1.20)
| Portimonense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FC Serpa | 0 | 10.8% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.3% | 5.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 21.1% | 5.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.9% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.8% · Draw 16.8% · Away win 3.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1