Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 14:00 •
Estádio Capitão Josino da Costa
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.36)
1.17 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.8% | 29.5% | 40.5% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.0%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| O Elvas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lagoa | 0 | 12.0% | 14.0% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.4% | 13.4% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 5.5% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lagoa | O Elvas |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 27% |
| Attack | 38% | 23% |
| Defense | 38% | 54% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lagoa | O Elvas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Draws | 33% | 67% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Loses | 67% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 67% | 50% |
Form: Lagoa: LLLDDD • O Elvas: WWLLDL
League goals
| Metric | Lagoa | O Elvas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 6 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lagoa | O Elvas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 67% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 50% | 17% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 17% | 17% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lagoa | O Elvas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lagoa | O Elvas |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lagoa | O Elvas |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 4-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lagoa | O Elvas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 48.3% | 52.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Lagoa or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lagoa = 0.96 (league 1.36), O Elvas = 1.17 (league 1.20)
| O Elvas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lagoa | 0 | 12.0% | 14.0% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.4% | 13.4% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 5.5% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.8% · Draw 29.5% · Away win 40.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1